Quantifying suitable dynamic water levels in marsh wetlands based on hydrodynamic modelling     

Peng Hu  Zefan Yang  Qiande Zhu  Weize Wang  Qin Yang 《水文研究》2021,35(2):e14054

The water level of marsh wetlands is a dominant force controlling the wetland ecosystem function, especially for aquatic habitat. For different species, water level requirements vary in time and space, and therefore ensuring suitable water levels in different periods is crucial for the maintenance of biodiversity in marsh wetlands. Based on hydrodynamic modelling and habitat suitability assessment, we determined suitable dynamic water levels considering aquatic habitat service at different periods in marsh wetlands. The two-dimensional hydrodynamic model was used to simulate the temporal and spatial variation of water level. The habitat suitability for target species at various water levels was evaluated to obtain the fitting curves between Weighted Usable Area (WUA) and water levels. And then suitable water levels throughout the year were proposed according to the fitting curves. Using the Zhalong Wetland (located in northeastern China) as a case study, we confirmed that the proposed MIKE 21 model can successfully be used to simulate the water level process in the wetland. Suitable water levels were identified as being from 143.9–144.2 m for April to May, 144.1–144.3 m for June to September, and 144.3–144.4 m for October to November (before the freezing season). Furthermore, proposed water diversion schemes have been identified which can effectively sustain the proposed dynamic water levels. This study is expected to provide appropriate guidance for the determination of environmental flows and water management strategies in marsh wetlands.  相似文献   

Development of the cyclic p–y curve for a single pile in sandy soil     

Sung-Ha Baek  Joonyoung Kim  Seung-Hwan Lee 《Marine Georesources & Geotechnology》2018,36(3):351-359

Pile foundations that support transmission towers or offshore structures are dominantly subjected to cyclic lateral load induced by wind and waves. For a successful design, it is crucial to investigate the effect of cyclic lateral loads on the pile behavior that is loaded laterally. Although the p–y curve method is generally utilized to design the cyclic laterally loaded pile foundations, the effect of cyclic lateral loads on the pile has not been properly implemented with the p–y curve. This reflects a lack of consideration of the overall stiffness change in soil–pile interaction. To address this, a series of model pile tests were conducted in this study on a preinstalled aluminum flexible pile under various sandy soil conditions. The test results were used to investigate the effect of cyclic lateral loads on the p–y behavior. The cyclic p–y curve, which properly takes into account this effect, was developed as a hyperbolic function. Pseudo-static analysis was also conducted with the proposed cyclic p–y curve, which showed that it was able to properly simulate cyclic laterally loaded pile behavior in sandy soil.  相似文献   

近断层速度脉冲与震源机制的关系浅析   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

罗全波  陈学良  高孟潭  李宗超  李铁飞  张振 《震灾防御技术》2018,13(3):646-661

本文初步分析了近断层速度脉冲的成因和特点，主要包括方向性效应与滑冲效应，并通过中国台湾集集地震的脉冲记录，分析了断层破裂方向和位移大小等震源参数对脉冲强度的影响。此外，基于有限移动源理论，说明了断层辐射与速度脉冲分布的关系，并探讨了利用运动学震源模型研究近断层地震动对速度脉冲影响的技术路线；评述了7种典型的等效速度脉冲模型，建议进一步研究等效速度脉冲函数与震源机制之间的关系。最后，简述了不同类型的断层引起速度脉冲的差异，并推测了产生脉冲型地震动的下限条件，同时展望该研究在地震预警方面的可能性。  相似文献   

基于多元线性回归方法的砌体结构加固费用估算模型研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

郑山锁  丁明松  郑捷  侯丕吉 《地震工程学报》2018,40(1):6-13

为建立适用于砌体结构的加固费用快速估算模型,对中国陕西、山西、四川等地砌体结构建筑物的历史加固费用及相关建筑参数进行统计,建立涵盖35栋砌体结构建筑物加固费用估算模型的回归与验证数据库,同时对影响加固费用的各建筑参数作显著性分析,并基于后向消去的多元线性回归方法,利用SPSS统计分析软件对已采集的加固数据进行回归,得到4个费用估算模型;按照相应评价准则分别对各模型进行评价,提出一套最优的砌体结构加固费用快速估算模型,并对该回归模型进行验证分析。回归得到的费用估算模型满足精度要求,具有一定的工程应用价值。  相似文献   

基于改进的BP神经网络构建区域精密对流层延迟模型   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4       下载免费PDF全文

肖恭伟  欧吉坤  刘国林  张红星 《地球物理学报》2018,61(8):3139-3148

利用神经网络算法挖掘海量数据的规律已成为科技发展的一种趋势，本文针对卫星信号的天顶对流层延迟进行建模.对流层延迟是影响卫星定位精度的重要因素之一，建立精密区域对流层模型对高精度定位有着重要的意义.对区域测站对流层延迟数据的分析，考虑到实时建模中传统BP（Back Propagation）神经网络计算量大，易出现"过拟合"现象、不稳定等因素，通过改进的BP神经网络建立了区域精密对流层模型.详细介绍了新模型的建立过程，并与常用的对流层区域实时模型进行了对比.还讨论了建模测站数目对预报精度的影响.相比现有的其他对流层延迟模型，基于改进的BP神经网络构建的区域精密对流层延迟模型无论在拟合和预报方面都有较好的精度，且随着测站数目的增加模型精度趋于平稳.改进的模型参数较少，可以进行实时的区域精密对流层延迟改正；需要播发的信息量小，适用于连续运行参考站系统（Continuously Operating Reference Stations，CORS）的应用.研究表明：改进的BP神经网络模型能够更好的充分利用大规模历史数据描述卫星信号对流层延迟的空间分布情况，适用于实时大区域精密对流层建模.基于日本地区2005年近1000多个测站的NCAR（National Center Atmospheric Research）对流层数据进行区域对流层延迟建模，结果表明改进的BP神经网络模型在拟合和预报精度上都有较大提升，RMSE（Root Mean Square Error）分别为：7.83 mm和8.52 mm，而四参数模型拟合、预报RMSE分别18.03 mm和16.60 mm.  相似文献   

一种卫星重力梯度数据的ARMA最优滤波模型构建方法          下载免费PDF全文

朱广彬  常晓涛  付兴科  瞿庆亮 《地球物理学报》2018,61(12):4729-4736

由于卫星重力梯度观测的有色噪声特性和海量观测特征，在利用直接法进行重力场模型的最小二乘求解时，观测值的协方差阵为超大型的非对角阵，这给数值求解带来了极大困难.本文提出了一种基于先验误差功率谱密度的最优ARMA滤波模型构建方法，结合法方程的分块求解策略，可实现对卫星重力梯度观测值的高效滤波处理.数值仿真结果表明，利用最优ARMA滤波器进行时域滤波后，法方程的态性得到了明显改善，重力梯度观测值中的有色噪声得到了有效的"白化"处理，大地水准面精度得到了显著提升.  相似文献   

基于波形拟合的中国东海地区410 km间断面附近速度结构研究          下载免费PDF全文

李文兰  魏荣强  崔清辉  高雅健  周元泽 《地球物理学报》2018,61(1):150-160

410 km间断面是地幔转换带的顶界面，对其速度结构和起伏形态开展地震学探测有助于认识地球内部物质组成和相关的地球动力学过程.本文选取了由中国数字地震台网记录到的位于琉球俯冲区的一个中源地震P波宽频带波形资料，利用三重震相波形拟合研究了中国东海地区410 km间断面附近的精细速度结构.结果表明：中国东海地区下方410 km间断面整体表现为一尖锐的速度界面且有8~15 km的小幅抬升；该间断面之上存在52~62 km厚的低速层，其P波速度降低0.5%~1.6%；440 km深度以下存在1.0%~3.0%的P波高速异常.结合前人在该地区的层析成像结果，我们推测该高速异常体与西太平洋俯冲板片在中国东海地区地幔转换带内的滞留有关；板片内水相E分解使得转换带内水含量增加，这引发了410 km间断面的抬升；410 km间断面之上的低速层应与含水矿物脱水导致的地幔橄榄岩部分熔融有关.  相似文献   

A new method for establishing hydrologic fidelity of snow depth measurements based on snowmelt–runoff hydrographs     

Daeryong Park 《水文科学杂志》2018,63(3):369-385

For snowmelt-driven flood studies, snow water equivalent (SWE) is frequently estimated using snow depth data. Accurate measurements of snow depth are important in providing data for continuous hydrologic simulations of such watersheds. A new hydrologic fidelity metric is proposed in this study to evaluate the potential contribution of particular snow depth datasets to flow characteristics using observed data and hydrologic modeling using the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model. Data-based hydrologic fidelity of snow depth measurements is defined as a categorical skill score between the snow depth in the watershed and the hydrograph peak or volume at the watershed outlet. Similarly, model-based hydrologic fidelity is defined as a categorical skill score between the model-simulated snow depth and the model-simulated hydrograph peak or volume. The proposed framework is illustrated using the Pecatonica River watershed in the USA, indicating which sites have a higher hydrologic fidelity, which is preferred in hydrologic studies.  相似文献   

A multiscaling‐based intensity–duration–frequency model for extreme precipitation          下载免费PDF全文

Hans Van de Vyver 《水文研究》2018,32(11):1635-1647

Rainfall intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves are a standard tool in urban water resources engineering and management. They express how return levels of extreme rainfall intensity vary with duration. The simple scaling property of extreme rainfall intensity, with respect to duration, determines the form of IDF relationships. It is supposed that the annual maximum intensity follows the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. As well known, for simple scaling processes, the location parameter and scale parameter of the GEV distribution obey a power law with the same exponent. Although, the simple scaling hypothesis is commonly used as a suitable working assumption, the multiscaling approach provides a more general framework. We present a new IDF relationship that has been formulated on the basis of the multiscaling property. It turns out that the GEV parameters (location and scale) have a different scaling exponent. Next, we apply a Bayesian framework to estimate the multiscaling GEV model and to choose the most appropriate model. It is shown that the model performance increases when using the multiscaling approach. The new model for IDF curves reproduces the data very well and has a reasonable degree of complexity without overfitting on the data.  相似文献   

Model for multiblock columns subjected to base excitation     

Tamás Ther  László P. Kollár 《地震工程与结构动力学》2018,47(2):418-437

A new model is presented for multiblock columns subjected to earthquakes, which contains an impact and an opening model. Both in the impact and in the opening model, all the possible opening configurations are investigated because it was found that in many practical cases, unexpected patterns may occur. The model is purely mechanical: assuming rigid blocks and classical (inelastic) impact. The effect of energy dissipation during impact was investigated. Using our model in accordance with the literature, it was found that monolithic blocks are more vulnerable to overturning than multiblock systems.  相似文献